SpaceX IPO hinges on Starlink as ARPU slips, mobile growth strengthens, and AI-linked narratives face usage questions
As SpaceX heads toward an IPO, analysts are anchoring the deal largely on Starlink’s subscriber momentum—while flagging investor risks tied to slowing average revenue per user and intensifying competition as the company pushes into more cities and suburbs. The valuation narrative is further complicated by AI/“Grok and X” usage signals that Sensor Tower says are weakening alongside rising Starlink mobile growth.