Asteroid 2024 YR4: ~4% chance of striking the Moon in 2032 — risk to satellites and a rare science opportunity
A preprint by Yifan He (Tsinghua) finds ~60‑meter asteroid 2024 YR4 has about a 4% chance of striking the Moon in 2032. Though odds are small, researchers warn of hazards to lunar‑orbit and Earth satellites and highlight a rare chance to study impact mechanics, seismology and lunar composition.