Geopolitical Developments & Conflict Impact News

Reuters • Tim Hepher

IATA trims 2025 airline profit forecast to $36 billion amid uncertainty and supply strains

IATA cut its 2025 global airline profit forecast to $36 billion, down from earlier estimates, as economic and geopolitical uncertainty, weakened consumer confidence and “off-the-chart unacceptable” supply chain challenges weigh on carriers. Although up from $32.4 billion in 2024, returns remain below prior projections, with high SAF costs adding pressure.

2025-06-01T21:30:45.266832-07:00

Reuters

Missile and drone threats, airspace closures escalate airline costs and complexity

2025-06-03T21:29:42.349360-07:00

AeroTime

Unprecedented Drone Strike Destroys Over 40 Russian Strategic Bombers

2025-06-01T06:44:31.683632-07:00

Bloomberg

Pakistan Airspace Ban Adds Hour to Air India's Westbound Flights, CEO Warns

2025-06-02T03:22:41.283625-07:00

Geopolitical Developments & Conflict Impact News Timeline

South China Morning Post

Japan Seeks Accelerated Next-Gen Fighters as GCAP Progress Stalls Confronted by an aging F-15 and F-2 fleet increasingly outmatched by China’s new stealth jets, Japan is pressing UK and Italy to speed up the Global Combat Air Programme. Frustrated by delays, Tokyo is weighing stop-gap procurements and alternative development paths to close the air-superiority gap.

2025-06-07T17:15:14.908444-07:00

Japan Seeks Accelerated Next-Gen Fighters as GCAP Progress Stalls

www3.nhk.or.jp

Taiwan on High Alert as Carrier Liaoning Transits Southeast Waters Taiwan’s defense ministry has heightened alert after China’s carrier Liaoning was detected sailing in waters off Taiwan’s southeast, underscoring Beijing’s maritime power projection near the island. The move comes amid persistent cross-Strait tensions and follows recent PLA naval and aerial activities around Taiwan’s perimeter.

2025-06-06T21:44:23.485546-07:00

Taiwan on High Alert as Carrier Liaoning Transits Southeast Waters

Air & Space Forces Mag

US Air Force Ready to Add Nukes Once Arms Control Treaty Ends

2025-06-06T16:56:31.136540-07:00

Air Force Ready to Add Nukes Onc

The War Zone

Leaked Imagery Reveals Side-by-Side Cockpit and Triple-Bay Weapons Layout on China’s J-36 Stealth Fighter Recent ground imagery of China’s J-36 heavy stealth fighter reveals a side-by-side cockpit layout and a triple-bay weapons configuration—a large central bay flanked by two smaller bays—offering industry the first detailed glimpse of its payload flexibility and potential heavy-strike role as testing continues.

2025-06-06T16:12:19.692211-07:00

Leaked Imagery Reveals Side-by-Side Cockpit and Triple-Bay Weapons Layout on China’s J-36 Stealth Fighter

Space Intel Report

EU GPS/Galileo Jamming Incidents Top 6,000 in January as Brussels Eyes New Pressure on Russia, Belarus The European Commission says jamming of GPS and Galileo signals surged past 6,000 incidents in January, traced largely to disruptions emanating from Russian and Belarusian territory. With navigation reliability at risk for aviation and defense, Brussels is preparing fresh diplomatic and punitive measures against Moscow and Minsk.

2025-06-06T10:38:56.327838-07:00

EU GPS/Galileo Jamming Incidents Top 6,000 in January as Brussels Eyes New Pressure on Russia, Belarus

NPR

Russia Launches Massive Drone and Missile Strike on Kyiv in Retaliation for Ukrainian Airfield Raid Russia unleashed a mixed drone and missile assault on Kyiv this weekend, killing at least three civilians and damaging key infrastructure. The attack was ordered in retaliation for a covert Ukrainian strike that destroyed multiple Russian strategic bombers at airbases, U.S. President Trump said Putin warned it was coming.

2025-06-06T03:23:09.569170-07:00

Russia Launches Massive Drone and Missile Strike on Kyiv in Retaliation for Ukrainian Airfield Raid

Janes

Turkey Details Indigenous Aircraft Carrier Plans as TF-2000 Destroyer Advances Captain Hakan Uçar, director of the Turkish Navy’s Design Project Office, revealed specifications and construction milestones for Turkey’s first indigenous aircraft carrier, including displacement, air wing size and phased completion targets. He also detailed the TF-2000 destroyer’s radar and missile integration timeline as Ankara seeks to bolster its naval capabilities.

2025-06-06T03:07:23.862024-07:00

Turkey Details Indigenous Aircraft Carrier Plans as TF-2000 Destroyer Advances

FlightGlobal

NATO Members Back Plan to Boost Defense Spending to 5% of GDP NATO members have endorsed a proposal to increase defense-related expenditure to 5% of GDP in the near term, more than doubling the long-standing 2% benchmark, as the alliance accelerates its military modernization in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

2025-06-06T01:55:00.645833-07:00

NATO Members Back Plan to Boost Defense Spending to 5% of GDP

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