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BryceTech: SpaceX captured ~50% of global launch activity in 2025 as the market pivots to smallsats

BryceTech’s 2025 Year in Review shows launch demand increasingly concentrated in small satellites, alongside SpaceX’s continued dominance—accounting for about half of launches in 2025. The findings reinforce a market shift toward frequent, lower-cost access to orbit and intensifying competitive pressure on non-vertically integrated providers.

Discovered 2026-04-10T12:53:22.530933-07:00 | 2026-04-10T12:53:22.530933-07:00

Briefing

What Hype is tracking

BryceTech’s tally of SpaceX at ~50% of 2025 launches quantifies how fast launch volumes are consolidating around one provider, shaping pricing power and route-to-orbit strategies across the smallsat ecosystem.
The report’s smallsat emphasis highlights where next-wave payload demand is forming—affecting launch procurement decisions, mission planning cadence, and spacecraft supply chain alignment (see related market pressure described in Vertical integration by SpaceX and peers squeezes the smallsat market).
As institutional users continue to shift critical missions to SpaceX (e.g., US Space Force reassigns GPS III-8 to SpaceX), the BryceTech results suggest commercial and defense launch selection are coalescing around similar performance/cadence expectations.

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