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NASA, with Webb observations, rules out 2032 Moon impact from asteroid 2024 YR4

NASA, using James Webb Space Telescope measurements, confirmed asteroid 2024 YR4 will not hit the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032, removing a previously estimated ~4% lunar-impact probability. Earlier observations had already reduced Earth's impact risk to zero; the asteroid's impact energy was compared to a nuclear bomb.

Discovered 2026-03-05T09:13:49.068459-08:00 | 2026-03-05T09:13:49.068459-08:00

Briefing

What Hype is tracking

  • JWST's orbit refinement eliminates the ~4% chance 2024 YR4 would strike the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 and confirms Earth's impact risk had already been reduced to zero; earlier work warned of hazards to lunar-orbit and Earth satellites (analysis).
  • Removing the lunar-impact scenario reduces operational and safety uncertainty for planned lunar activities and assets, including crewed Artemis missions and other 2026 lunar plans (2026 lunar mission context).

Reported By

aa.com.tr The Guardian news.ssbcrack.com thehindu.com satelliteprome.com science.nasa.gov
Sources Tracked
27
First Seen
2026-03-05T09:13:49.068459-08:00
Latest Update
2026-03-11T16:12:23.160028-07:00
Coverage
Space

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