NASA and IBM unveil Surya, an AI model to predict solar storms

NASA and IBM have unveiled Surya, a first‑of‑its‑kind artificial intelligence model built to predict solar storms. Described as providing "unprecedented capability to anticipate what's coming," Surya is intended to improve near‑term space‑weather forecasting and early warning for affected assets.

Discovered 2025-08-28T08:02:47.173266-07:00 | 2025-08-28T08:02:47.173266-07:00

Briefing

What Hype is tracking

Surya demonstrates measurable forecasting gains: the model was trained on nine years of satellite imagery and can provide near‑term forecasts (up to two hours ahead), reporting roughly a 16% improvement over existing tools (NASA and IBM open-source Surya AI to forecast solar activity and protect satellites).
Improved short‑term solar forecasting directly strengthens protections for satellites, communications and terrestrial infrastructure by providing earlier warnings of geomagnetic disturbances, complementing missions that map solar‑wind interactions (SpaceX Delivers NASA's TRACERS Twin Probes to Study Earth's Magnetic Shield).
Surya aligns with a broader industry shift toward embedding AI into space systems for faster, autonomous decision making, reinforcing trends in onboard intelligence and persistent ISR capabilities (NASA's First AI-Enabled Satellite Autonomously Selects Imaging Targets and Thales and Skydweller to Develop AI-Enabled Solar-Powered Long-Endurance Surveillance Drone).

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