A new IATA–Worley study finds sufficient sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) feedstock exists to enable the industry to reach net‑zero CO2 by 2050, but concludes that technology deployment — not feedstock availability — is the principal bottleneck to scaling SAF production, with direct consequences for investment, policy and industrialisation timelines.
Discovered |
Briefing
The study concludes sufficient SAF feedstock exists to enable aviation to hit net‑zero by 2050, reframing the problem as one of technology scale‑up and industrial deployment rather than raw material scarcity. See context from ICAO’s 42nd Assembly on SAF and CORSIA.
Treating technology as the bottleneck highlights why many announced projects have not moved to production: commercial‑scale conversion and plant construction are the chokepoints. This mirrors analysis showing a high failure rate among SAF project announcements (see reporting that most SAF projects have stalled).
The finding sharpens where capital and policy must be directed — to accelerate conversion technologies, permitting and offtake structures — reinforcing recent moves by manufacturers and carriers to invest in SAF capacity and offtake arrangements and to governments' funding measures to jump‑start production.
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